COMMENTARY - Could Harper lose his majority government?
----- Original Message -----
From: "Janet M Eaton" <jmeaton@ns.sympatico.ca>
Sent: Monday, June 18, 2012 7:51 AM
Subject: Robocalls: New developments. Could Harper lose his Majority
Government? Spread the Word + JE Commentary
Dear All:
Sandra Finley (below) says Harper might lose his majority government, sooner than the next scheduled Federal Election in 2015.
Elizabeth May has been saying all along that Harper must go within the next year--I would say that it is too dangerous to allow him to proceed not only for the planetary cycles and ecosystems upon which we depend but also for our own welfare, for our democratic rights, civic rights, freedom of speech, freedom to protest, our security, health, economic justice, well-being and the conservation and appropriate use of the biophysical resources upon which we depend for long term survival.
We must keep the awareness of Harper's governments almost weekly if not daily disrespect for Parliamentary democracy and his dismantling and devastation of democratically achieved legislation out there in full public view; we must continue to expose the egregious nature of his government which is now on the slippery slope towards fascism and Petrostate, and we must keep working for and articulating the change we want not as some prescription of old political party values but as a well thought out vision arrived at by 'decolonizing' our minds of past paradigms and then considering principles and frameworks that can help us arrive at ethical and ecological and economically sustainable systems i.e to shift in the short term and survive in the long term.
We must articulate and hold high , ideals and values, such as the 'common good', participatory democracy, smaller scale government, localization, national control of trade, dismantling of the Bretton Woods Institutions and implementing alternatives, a return to tariffs and quotas that protect local agriculture and manufacturing and ecological sustainable development, a return to public banking; awareness of the need for steady state economies and the concept of degrowth; embedding the economy in the social and cultural domain; and understanding and pushing for wealth re-distribution and in the south land redistribution, focus on quality not quantity etc..
These along with other related prescriptions for change are all suggestions that come from many of the minds that have been looking at how we make the shift for long term survival and to weaken the impact of collapse - recognizing that we are at the 'end of growth' - - minds such as David Korten in his New Economic Agenda; Walden Bello and his concept of Deglobalization; Herman Daly in his Steady State Economics {SSE} ; Richard Heinberg in his 'Power Down'; many Degrowth economists; Transition Town active participants; advocates of Localization and many, many more. They are all coming to the same conclusion - the existing economic model has failed. We are at the end of economic growth as we have known it i.e the neoclassical, free market model -- for many reasons from climate change, massive contamination and disruption of all our ecosystems upon which life depends; depletion of natural resources-- peak oil, and peak everything as we continue to deplete most of the natural resources upon which we depend; inability to produce enough food via the present system of agribusiness; not to mention financial collapse and breakdown of the capitalist system i.e we are fast reaching the limits to growth, however you cut it. Fossil fuels allowed a population surge and an unprecendented increase in growth and draw down of natural resources since the industrial revolution, resources which cannot regenerate. We now must live by the Laws of nature such as the laws of Thermodynamics, Liebig's Law of the minimum etc; consider formulas such as Energy Return on Energy Invested {EROI] in making energy related decisions and recognize that the Biophysical
limits of the planet must be part of the new economics of reality.
So as Sandra states below - in regard to the Robocalls and calling Harper government out:
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IF PEOPLE DO NOT KNOW what happened in Mississauga, and how people spoke up, they are not in a position to help out.
If YOU didn't know about it, THEY are unlikely to know.
So - - spread the word! It's the only way to defend against fraud, corruption and the slide down the slope to loss of democracy.
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Likewise we all must learn about and speak out about alternatives to a flawed and failed economic system and then join with fellow citizens to re-envision, re-think and re-fashion a livable society where we shall thrive on a different paradigm of wealth and well-being!
Tonight three of us from Nova Scotia who attended the recent Degrowth Conference in Montreal are offering a Debriefing on that experience and on Degrowth as a well established, academically based idea that embodies all of the suggestions mentioned above.
As Joanna Macy suggested in her framework for The Great Turning - to create systemic change i.e to shift the paradigm from today's outmoded economic model we must do three things at once.
1. Continue to stand against the old system
2. Deconstruct the old sytsem and envision the new system and start articulating it.
3. Ensure there is a consciousness shift for as Einstein said - We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them.
So stand against the Harper government on an ongoing basis - Robocalls, bill C-38, Fighter Jets etc; learn about the alternatives and work toward systemic or paradigmatic policy shifts; and take time for the personal work that brings ones life into balance while seeking out like minded communities and working to build strong local communities wherever you are -things like voluntary simplicty movements, transition towns, local food movements, and local living economies and communities!
fyi- janet
Please forward this e-mail to your lists, friends, and Facebook using the website address below -
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5912. At least the following part of it if not all.
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This email is posted on-line at
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5912.
Harper might lose his majority government, sooner than the next scheduled Federal Election in 2015. Look at recent developments and then do the math.
1. The Supreme Court will hear the Etobicoke Centre appeal of election results on July 10th (Former Liberal MP welcomes rare July sitting for high court on election case)
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5914. The likely outcome in my mind, is a by-election.
2. It is possible that Conservative MP Dean Del Mastro (Peterborough) will go down. He is in serious trouble with Elections Canada's investigation of his 2008 campaign financing. When the court document became public, citizens quickly responded with further damning evidence of their own. They had been asked to make a contribution of $1000 to Del Mastro's campaign, in return for which they received $1050 back.
Elections Canada says in a court document it has reasonable grounds to believe offences were committed by Dean Del Mastro, who serves as Prime Minister Stephen Harper's parliamentary secretary, and by his campaign's official agent. Del Mastro has also led the Government's defence against the robocall scandal:
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5878
Employees linked to cousin's company each gave $1,000 to Del Mastro
campaign:
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5908
3. There are the 7 robocall ridings.
4. It's possible that more citizens in other ridings "know things" and will also be motivated to speak up.
This is where we have a role to play. IF PEOPLE DO NOT KNOW what happened in Mississauga, and how people spoke up, they are not in a position to help out.
If YOU didn't know about it, THEY are unlikely to know.
So - - spread the word! It's the only way to defend against fraud, corruption and the slide down the slope to loss of democracy.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DO THE MATH: What is the potential for taking down Harper's Conservative majority government?
166 seats in the House of Commons are held by the Conservatives.
155 seats constitute majority government (308 seats in total, (1/2 + 1) = (154 + 1 = 155))
154 seats is a minority of seats
Therefore, a loss of 12 seats (unadjusted) = Conservative Minority Government
Adjust for Speaker-of-the-House:
- 1 Andrew Scheer, Conservative. By the Constitution, the Speaker cannot vote unless his or her vote would break a tie.
So, the loss of 11 seats would mean Conservative loss of Majority
Government.
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Number of seats currently at risk:
1 Etobicoke Centre.
June 15, The Supreme Court "says it will hear the Etobicoke Centre case in an unusual summer sitting on July 10." (Conservative MP Ted Opitz won the seat by 26 votes. Liberal candidate Borys Wrzesnewskyj immediately after the Election challenged the results in Court. In May, Judge Thomas Lederer of the Ontario Superior Court found that Elections Canada officials made clerical errors at the polls. He threw out 79 votes and overturned the final result which the Conservatives then appealed. And now the news, Former Liberal MP welcomes rare July sitting for high court on election case
http://sandrafinley.ca/?p=5914.)
1 Del Mastro's riding of Peterborough, as explained above.
7 Robocall ridings
Don Valley East in Ontario, won by Conservative MP Joe Daniel by 870 votes.
Nipissing-Timiskaming in Ontario, won by Conservative MP Jay Aspin by 18 votes.
Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar in Saskatchewan, won by Conservative Kelly Block by 538 votes.
Vancouver Island North in B.C., won by Conservative John Duncan by 1,827 votes.
Winnipeg South Centre in Manitoba, won by Conservative MP Joyce Bateman by 722 votes.
Elmwood-Transcona in Manitoba, won by Conservative MP Lawrence Toet by 300 votes.
Yukon won by Conservative Ryan Leef by 132 votes.
TOTAL : 9 ridings currently at risk
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The Conservatives are doing what they can to block progress on the robocall ridings through the Courts. But the Supreme Court expedited the Etobicoke Centre case.
If TWO more ridings surface where offences were committed by Conservatives, the Harper majority could go down.
It replenishes my faith and fires my spirit to see citizens who "know something", speak up. In this Del Mastro instance, I believe that most of them are from Mississauga.
Let's hear a thundering round of applause for the defenders of Canadian values:
in Mississauga
the (literally) HUNDREDS of thousands in Quebec all those thousands who worked across Canada to draw Bill C-38 to attention.
I do believe we will overcome the greedy and unscrupulous who embrace
not-Canadian, not-human corporate values.
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Email from Sandra Finley
Saskatoon, SK Canada
306-373-8078