Road to majority: What the federal parties need to reach the magic number
[ http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/road-to ... -1.2960315 ]
Each party has its own pathway to form a majority government
By Éric Grenier, for CBC News Posted: Feb 18, 2015 5:00 AM ET| Last Updated: Feb 18, 2015 5:00 AM ET
EXCERPT:
But theoretically, it appears the Conservatives could win a smaller share of seats in Ontario than they did in 2011 and still come out with a majority. The reason is Quebec. The party is experiencing a surge in support, [ http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/are-ste ... -1.2951565 ] enough to give it an extra 10 seats in the province — and in a majority scenario, perhaps as many as 15 more. That provides a cushion if the Conservatives lose seats in other parts of the country.
On the map, a Conservative majority looks something like this: 20 seats in British Columbia, 50 in Alberta and the Prairies, 70 in Ontario, 20 in Quebec, and 10 in Atlantic Canada. While the tally in Quebec would be very high by the Conservatives' historical standards, the low target in Ontario gives the Tories room to manoeuvre.